Dgenz Crypto Weekly 046

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Table of Contents

• Market Pulse

• Weekly Charts

• Token of the Week

Inflation Data Dips, Tariffs Time Bomb Ticks

Producer prices unexpectedly dropped in August. That’s right… wholesale inflation actually went down by 0.1%, giving the Fed a bit more breathing room to finally hit that juicy rate cut everyone’s been thirsting for. Markets were bracing for a 0.3% increase, so this dip was a nice surprise. And the futures market is now fully pricing in a rate cut at the next Fed meeting, possibly the first one since December 2024. There’s even a 10% chance they go big with a half-point cut. So what’s cooling inflation?
- Services prices dropped 0.2%, mostly thanks to a 3.9% nosedive on machinery and auto.
- Goods prices crept up just 0.1%, with food ticking higher and energy slipping lower.
- Tobacco? Up 2.3%, mostly due to Trump’s new tariffs.
Speaking of that… here comes the tariff time bomb. Trump’s insane 40% global transhipment penalty only just kicked in on August 7, meaning we haven’t even felt the worst of it yet. Combine that with new 20% tariffs on countries like Bangladesh (where most of your cheap clothes come from), and we’re staring down a supply shock waiting to happen. And get this: some countries have already stopped shipping to the U.S. entirely. Once current stock runs out, expect prices to rip just in time for holiday season. Oh, and the Supreme Court isn’t even hearing the appeal on these tariffs until November. So yeah… enjoy the discount window while it lasts.

Labor Pains or Just a Cramp

The jobs market just tripped on its own shoelaces. August payrolls were expected to come in at 75K. Instead? A measly 22K. But the real facepalm came from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, who revised the past year of data down by 911K jobs, the biggest correction ever. That’s not a typo. June even flipped red at -13K, breaking a years-long green streak. And where did most of the recent job growth come from? Just one sector, healthcare and education. Meanwhile, immigration’s tanking thanks to Trump’s crackdown, which means the U.S. might not even need as many new jobs to stay afloat. Unemployment’s still at 4.3%, so we’re not in panic mode yet, the economy is definitely cooling off but I wouldn’t say collapsing. And it’s giving major déjà vu. This exact time last year, weak jobs data forced the Fed to cut rates by 50bps in September. With this new revision in play, traders are starting to whisper about another jumbo cut incoming. The Fed’s next move could swing markets hard. Just like last year, we might be heading into rate-cut season… again.

Launch Now, Pay Later

After Circle and Bullish rocketed to the moon with +170% and +218% pops, it’s now Gemini’s turn to step into the arena. The Winklevoss twins’ exchange is set to go public on Nasdaq under the ticker GEMI on September 11, eyeing a ~$2.1B valuation with a $316M raise. But don’t let the shiny price tag fool you because under the hood, Gemini’s carrying a lot of debt and a whole bag of red flags. Trading-wise, Gemini’s a minnow. It ranks 35th globally with just $209M daily volume, only a 0.3% share which is nothing when we compare that to Coinbase’s $1.4B and Binance’s “we own the ocean” numbers. But where they punch above their weight is custody, they hold $18B+ in assets for 10,000 institutions and backing it all with cold storage and $125M insurance. That said, 2025 hasn’t been kind. Revenues halved, and net losses exploded to $282M in just six months. A lot of that is tied up in crypto loans to and from entities like Winklevoss Capital, Galaxy Digital, Ripple, and NYDIG — basically a tangled mess of IOUs and convertibles that’ll all turn into discounted equity. Translation? Existing shareholders may get diluted faster than a memecoin presale. Even worse, 70% of their revenue is still tied to trading fees, a rollercoaster income stream that disappears during market hangovers. Gemini’s trying to diversify with a stablecoin, credit card, and NFT marketplace, but none are big enough to carry the weight if trading slumps again. Bottom line: Gemini’s IPO could rip if the market’s feeling risky but this thing is powered by borrowed fuel. It’s a high-risk, high-debt moonshot. Just the way we like it.

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USDT Dominance

$USDT.D looks like it’s flipping its old support into fresh resistance. If today’s daily candle closes below, we could see risk assets continue running hot. If you were to zoom in on the $STABLE.C.D chart (basically a tokenized version of the same thing) it’s telling the same story and it just printed a bearish 4HR candle. So far, odds are leaning in favor of a breakdown, and if that happens, alts might finally get their moment to shine.

Bitcoin

Price has been stuck in the same chop zone for a while now, so not looking to over-speculate here but the way we keep testing the 1D QVWAP a breakout might be loading, especially with the price action heating up right now. Normally, multiple retests of this dynamic level end up in an even bigger rejection, not a breakout... but heading into FOMC, holding a bearish bias feels like playing chicken with a freight train. I would be winding up on any short positions you have because things could get spicy real soon across the board if $BTC can close above this dynamic level.

Others Dominance

$OTHERS.D and $OTHERSBTC are both rejecting from resistance. Not exactly the ideal moment to ape into longs while we’re still hanging under key levels. That said… some alts are flashing some juicy green candles again which is the same kind of early signals we saw before the May/July mini pump. So yeah, while price is still chilling below resistance we’re not exactly in bullish territory yet, but I’m betting we break through soon. Just like Bitcoin, the charts look like they’re gearing up for a reclaim so I’ve got my eyes on longs and the red button’s staying unplugged until FOMC.

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Aptos - $APT

Aptos is a Layer-1 blockchain launched in October 2022 by ex-Meta engineers as the successor to the shelved Diem project. Built on the Move programming language and designed for high throughput, Aptos has positioned itself as a secure, scalable foundation for Web3, backed by $350M in funding from top VCs.

What Does Aptos Do?
Aptos aims to deliver fast, safe, and scalable infrastructure for decentralized apps across DeFi, gaming, NFTs, and real-world assets. Its focus is improving user experience with low fees, sub-second finality, and upgradeable architecture to support millions of users and enterprise-grade use cases.

How It Works?
Aptos uses a Proof-of-Stake BFT consensus (inspired by Diem’s HotStuff) and a parallel execution engine (Block-STM) that processes many transactions at once. This enables high throughput (tested up to 160K TPS) and low latency. Smart contracts run on Move, a Rust-based language designed for security and efficiency. Regular upgrades (like Baby Raptr and upcoming Zaptos) keep the chain evolving without forks.

Tokenomics & Incentives
Aptos launched with a 1B supply: 51% to the community, 19% to contributors, 16.5% to the foundation, and 13.5% to investors with long-term vesting. Over 80% of the supply is staked to validators, securing the network. Staking rewards start around 7% annually and decline slowly over time. All gas fees are currently burned, and $APT is used for gas, staking, and governance.

Ecosystem Impact
Aptos has become a hub for DeFi and tokenized real-world assets (RWAs). TVL surpassed $1B this year, with stablecoin supply also above $1B. Major protocols like PancakeSwap and Aave V3 have deployed, alongside NFT markets and social apps. Over $540M in RWAs have been tokenized on Aptos by institutions like BlackRock and Franklin Templeton, cementing its role in on-chain finance. Partnerships with Google Cloud and Mastercard strengthen its institutional credibility.

Recent Developments
- Aave V3 launched on Aptos last month, its first non-EVM deployment.
- Chainlink CCIP integrated bringing cross-chain assets like GHO and wrapped BTC.
- Stablecoin adoption surged, pushing liquidity above $1B.
- Network upgrades reduced latency by 20%, with more optimizations coming.

What’s Coming Next?
- Token unlock of ~11.3M APT (2.2% supply) on Sept 11, 2025.
- Zaptos consensus and Block-STM v2 upgrades to further scale throughput.
- Aptos Experience conference (Oct 15–16, NYC) expected to reveal new partnerships.
- More TradFi adoption of RWAs and DeFi expansion with new native projects launching.

TL;DR
Aptos is a Move-based Layer-1 aiming to deliver Web3 at scale with parallel execution and sub-second finality. Backed by major VCs and partners, it’s quickly grown into a $1B+ DeFi and RWA hub. With Aave and Chainlink onboard, institutional traction, and major tech upgrades ahead, $APT is central to Aptos’s push to become a mainstream blockchain for finance and apps.

Technical Analysis
As you can see on the daily chart below price has just broken out of a huge downtrend. Although we are currently trading at resistance I’ve still gone ahead and started a position here at market price, but make sure your DCA is heavier than your entry because as mentioned above we do have a 2.2% token unlock which could see price action return back to our support level at $4.209. Now this coin could be a real winner, it’s been in a downtrend for a long time now so this breakout is likely to be a big one, but remember that resistance is just that, so first place to take profits would be at $4.949 giving us about a 10% move from current prices. On the other hand, if we happen to see a daily close below $3.885 then that’s where I would suggest to cut your losses.

Market Cap - $3,083,570,350
24HR Volume - $468,851,218
Current Price - $4.46
All-Time High - $19.92 (-77%)
All-Time Low - $3.08 (+45%)

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