Dgenz Crypto Weekly 047

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Table of Contents

• Market Pulse

• Weekly Charts

• Token of the Week

Feathered Friends Fly Again

The Fed finally pulled the trigger and cut rates by 25bps, dropping the target to 4.25%. One brave soul even wanted a 50bps cut so the doves are now waking up. QT remains untouched, but the real action came in the dot plot. Here’s the scoop: the Fed just lowered their entire rate outlook for the next few years. The 2025 projection dropped from 3.9% to 3.6%, which signals two to three more cuts this year. For 2026 its been revised down to 3.4%, and 2027 slid to 3.1%. TL;DR – they’re not slamming the brakes, but they are clearly taking their foot off the gas. GDP growth is expected to crawl at 1.6% in 2025 and gradually rise to 1.9% by 2027. Unemployment is projected at 4.5% this year, and heading back to 4.2% by 2028. Inflation? Heading back to the Fed’s 2% happy place by 2028, both for headline and core. The most telling part? The Fed is finally talking more about weak employment rather than sticky inflation. That’s a major shift compared to earlier this year. Combine that with this dovish dot plot, and it’s clear the easing cycle is here. They’re not going full send yet, but the roadmap says one thing: more cuts are coming. So no, we’re not mooning overnight but anyone still being long-term bearish is fighting the trend. The Fed’s already turned the corner, and if you don’t, then you’ll be the one who’s left working the corner.

The Market’s Hidden Cheat Code

What if we told you there’s been $40M+ in free money just laying around on prediction markets and no one noticed? A new academic paper just dropped, and it basically say that prediction markets are dumb sometimes. The researchers combed through a full year of data and found thousands of cases where market prices were wrong… like, basic level math-wrong such as “YES” and “NO” prices not adding up to $1, or identical outcomes priced differently (like “Trump wins” vs “Republican wins”). Meaning if you were quick enough (or a bot), you could lock in guaranteed profit. That’s called arbitrage, and according to the study, it’s been a goldmine. 7,000+ mispriced markets and tens of millions in profits were pulled by traders who knew what to look for. And it’s not just a Polymarket thing, Kalshi, Myriad, and even new ones like Melee Markets and OpinionsFun are subject to the same logic gaps. Anywhere you can bet on real-world events with tokens, there’s a chance for dumb pricing. Why? Because even though prediction markets look smart, they’re crowdsourced chaos. The crowd gets distracted. News breaks. Bots nap. Prices drift apart. Then some gigabrain steps in, matches up the puzzle pieces, and walks away with the bag. But here’s the kicker… This isn’t a bug. It’s the game. The profit motive is what brings prices back to reality. Arbitrage is the janitor that cleans up prediction markets. So if you’re a casual gambler, don’t assume the odds are perfect. And if you’re a degenerate with Excel and no life? Congrats, you just found your new hustle.

Degens Go Live, Coins Go Parabolic

Pump.fun is back on its BS and this time the livestream meta is actually paying creators life-changing money. Ex-esports star BunnyFuFuu launched BunCoin three days ago, went live on Pump, and already pocketed $243K in creator rewards. That’s more than his entire YouTube career made. Seriously. His YouTube CPM is crying in a corner right now. Then there’s the LAMP Guys, two literal nobodies wearing lampshades on their heads for 8 hours straight just standing on bedside tables like nightstand NPCs. Their token peaked at $825K, and they made $4.7K while sleeping for the majority of the stream, you can’t convince us this market makes sense anymore. Over at the Basedd House, it's crypto X-Factor. Shaved heads, bull rides, mankini stunts, talent show auditions gone rogue. Even a spinning egg with a hat tried to become the most-watched egg in internet history. It hit a $1.6M cap before getting scrambled down to $300K. Dev still walked away with over $72K. Not weird enough? Dare Coin’s dev went full clown: shaved half his head, covered himself in peanut butter, dumped iced coffee on himself, and screamed at strangers. Token hit $1.7M before crashing 93%. Dev still made $50K. Then there’s Bagwork, a wild group of teenagers streaming pranks like running onto the field during a Dodgers game, stealing a Nelk Boy’s hat and getting slapped for it, or dropping unreleased Drake tracks. The token pumped over 100,000%. Not bad for a couple of felonies. And finally, RUNNER. A guy literally on a treadmill livestream 24/7 until his token hits $100M. He's already made $108K and looks like he aged 10 years overnight. So why are they all on Pump when Twitch and YouTube get way more eyeballs? One word… money. Some quick math: A high-end YouTuber with 1M subs might pull $2,750/day with sponsors. And that’s being generous. BunCoin made 30x that without sponsorships, CPMs, or YouTube rules. This isn't livestreaming. This is degen-funded performance art. And it’s working.

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Bitcoin

Alright folks, it’s decision time for the big orange coin. While the macro bias is still bullish with new ATH/HH on the horizon, the chart’s starting to cook up a retest play that’s worth watching. I’m eyeing a move back to $113.9K where our 1D QVWAP lies. This would be the first clean retest since the breakout and a textbook spot to take a long position. From here, there’s only two ways I see this playing out: First and the less likely of the two is that BTC skips the dip and rips straight to $119.5K. That would tag a key resistance level and coincide with a support retest on the $STABLE.C.D chart. Would make a lot of technical sense, even if it's a bit too clean. But secondly, and what I think we most likely see happen is that price dips first to the $114K–$113.8K zone, gives us that sweet VWAP/trendline kiss, and then bounces hard. Clean structure, strong confluence, and ideal for leveraged degens. As for the people crying $100K breakdowns again… I’m not buying it. Yes, CT is panicking (as usual), but unless something major shifts in the price structure, those ultra-bear takes look hella early. Until then, bulls have the edge.

Stablecoin Dominance

If we zoom in to the 4HR on $STABLE.C.D we can see that we have just had another retest of the uptrend and if you were then to zoom out to the daily chart you would see that we are still yet to retest that resistance lying ahead. Now first touches are where we usually see the biggest bounces, so if you’re looking to position into longs, as you should be, then waiting for this level to hit is going to give you your best risk to reward opportunity.

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Polkadot - $DOT

Polkadot is a “blockchain of blockchains” launched in 2020 by Ethereum co-founder Gavin Wood. Instead of being one chain, Polkadot connects many specialized blockchains (parachains) under a single Relay Chain for shared security, cross-chain communication, and scalability. The goal is to create an interoperable Web3 where different blockchains can work together seamlessly.

What Does Polkadot Do?
Polkadot lets developers build their own blockchains optimized for specific use cases (DeFi, gaming, identity, etc.) while still benefiting from Polkadot’s security and interoperability. Through its parachains and XCM messaging, assets and data can flow across the ecosystem without centralized bridges. For users, it means apps on one chain can tap directly into another, thus creating a truly connected network.

How It Works?
At its core is the Relay Chain, secured by validators using Nominated Proof-of-Stake (NPoS). Parachains plug into the Relay Chain and inherit its security, while also being able to communicate with each other via XCM. Projects win parachain slots through auctions by bonding $DOT for up to two years, often with community crowdloans. This system ensures resources go to projects with strong user backing, while locking up large amounts of $DOT that reduces the circulating supply.

Tokenomics & Incentives
$DOT launched with a 1B supply and used an inflationary model of ~8–10% annually, with staking rewards for validators and nominators. In Sept 2025, governance voted to cap DOT’s supply at 2.1B, phasing out unlimited inflation. About half of all $DOT is staked today, earning 10–15% yields. $DOT is used for staking, governance, fees, and parachain bonding, making it central to the network’s growth.

Ecosystem Impact
Polkadot hosts 40+ parachains across DeFi, NFTs, bridges, and real-world assets. Moonbeam brings Ethereum compatibility, Acala powers DeFi and stablecoins, and HydraDX runs one of the largest liquidity pools. Real-world integrations are gaining traction with Deloitte using KILT (a Polkadot parachain) for digital identity, and Paraguay recently tokenized a $6M real estate project on Moonbeam. With over $300M in ecosystem TVL and strong developer activity, Polkadot has been steadily expanding.

Recent Developments
- DOT community approved a supply cap of 2.1B in Sept 2025.
- Whale wallets accumulated ~133M DOT (8.3% of supply) in Aug 2025.
- Deloitte integrated Polkadot’s KILT parachain for reusable KYC credentials.
- Paraguay’s government launched a tokenized real estate hub on Moonbeam.

What’s Coming Next?
- Polkadot 2.0 upgrades: elastic scaling and pay-per-block parachain access.
- Snowbridge Ethereum bridge is expected to go live in late 2025.
- Expanding real-world asset tokenization and new institutional partners.
- Renewed parachain slot auctions and more native DeFi projects launching.

TL;DR
Polkadot is a layer-0 network connecting many blockchains under one security system. $DOT powers governance, staking, and parachain slots, with a newly capped supply of 2.1B. With whale accumulation, real-world adoption, and Polkadot 2.0 upgrades on the horizon, it remains one of the most ambitious plays on an interoperable multichain future.

Technical Analysis
$DOT is a coin you don’t wanna miss out on because not only are the fundamentals great, but we have a clean break of our daily downtrend as well as a market structure shift with this new higher high. We also have a clear invalidation if we see a daily close below $3.25. Now, I was really hoping for a dump today back to our support at $4 during FOMC but there’s still no harm in entering lightly here at current market price, but remember to only do so lightly, we are at resistance and a check back down to retest the trendline as well as our 1D QVWAP is a likely scenario before it really begins to take off.

Market Cap - $6,542,156,275
24HR Volume - $292,242,735
Current Price - $4.30
All-Time High - $54.98 (-92%)
All-Time Low - $2.70 (+58%)

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