Market Pulse
The Fed Hit Snooze (Again)
If you showed up to this week’s Fed meeting expecting fireworks… you got a lullaby.
Rates stayed exactly where they are, as expected.
Markets gave it less than a 3% chance of a cut, so nobody was shocked.
Jerome Powell’s message was simple:
The economy looks a bit better.
Jobs are stabilizing.
Inflation is cooling, but still above target.
Translation:
We’re not cutting yet, but we’re also not hiking.
The cutting cycle is still alive. It’s just on pause.
Inflation Talk Was Quietly Bullish
Powell called inflation “modestly positive” and dropped an important detail.
He believes much of the inflation spike in 2025 came from tariffs and that those increases are now passing through as one-time effects.
And that matters. Because if inflation was tariff-driven and not demand-driven, the Fed has way more room to cut later.
He also made the most market-friendly comment of the entire meeting:
“It’s not our base case that the next move will be a rate hike.”
No hikes coming.
Cuts still on the table.
Just not yet.
The Fed Is Split And Markets Hate That
Two voting members dissented and wanted rate cuts immediately.
And this is becoming a pattern.
For years the Fed voted in perfect harmony.
Now it’s divided almost every meeting.
And that’s the real problem.
Markets don’t hate bad news.
They hate mixed signals.
When policymakers disagree, traders reduce risk first and ask questions later.
That’s why price action feels choppy instead of clean.
The Real Uncertainty Is What Comes Next
Powell only has two meetings left before his term ends in May.
Trump has now nominated Kevin Warsh as the next Fed Chair.
Warsh is a former Fed governor who served during the 2008 crisis. Historically, he’s been cautious about stimulus and focused heavily on inflation control.
That sounds hawkish. But lately he’s been talking more openly about lower rates.
So markets are stuck asking one question:
Is this a genuine pivot…
or just talk to keep markets calm and please dictator Donald?
Until that’s answered, expect hesitation, chop, and shaky confidence.
This isn’t panic selling. It’s uncertainty selling.
And markets always hate not knowing who’s driving the car.
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Weekly Charts
Others Dominance
The weakness we’ve seen in mid and low caps over the last 48 hours is mostly a Bitcoin problem, not an altcoin problem.
This move did not come from $BTCDOM or $OTHERS.D ripping higher.
If $OTHERS.D was actually dumping, alts would be getting absolutely smoked right now.
And they’re not. That brings us to the key level everyone should be watching.
$OTHERS.D is sitting right back at the 7.1% zone, which has acted as a major decision area before. From here, the market gives us two very different paths.
If Bitcoin keeps losing supports one by one while $OTHERS.D gets rejected here, that’s when things turn ugly. That combo usually means altcoins get dragged behind the shed.
But if Bitcoin starts carving out a local bottom like it did last time, and $OTHERS.D breaks back above its trendline, then the switch flips fast.
That’s when it goes from cope to conviction.
BTC weakness decides the next move. $OTHERS.D confirms it.
Eyes open. Levels matter here.
USDT Dominance
We are at a make or break zone right now. $BTC ( ▼ 2.6% ) needs to hold the $80K to $82K region over the next few days and start forming some kind of bottom.
If it doesn’t, we run into a much bigger problem.
A failure here likely means a weekly close above resistance on $USDT.D, and that level is basically a red alert for any bullish scenario.
I’ve said this before and I’ll say it again.
That zone on $USDT.D acts like a gateway to bear market conditions.
Once it closes above, liquidity hides in stables and risk gets nuked.
Historically, when that happens, Bitcoin doesn’t chop sideways. It searches lower.
Think $50K territory.
Now add another layer of danger on top.
The negative correlation between precious metals and Bitcoin is stretching back toward levels we last saw in:
• 2020
• 2018
• 2016
And every single one of those periods ended with a 40-50% drawdown on Bitcoin.
That doesn’t mean we’re about to relive a full-blown crash like October 10.
But the market will remind everyone that leverage always gets paid for eventually.
Stay alert. Protect capital. Wait for confirmation before going balls deep.
Bitcoin Dominance
Alright, now that I’ve successfully scared everyone into checking their stop losses…
Here’s the good news.
If Bitcoin does manage to put in a bottom here, the entire narrative flips fast.
In that scenario, $BTCDOM is likely to lose its daily ascending trendline, which is exactly what alts have been waiting for.
That breakdown usually acts like a release valve.
When dominance drops hard after a failed push higher, alts don’t grind up slowly.
They rip. Think V-shaped reversal energy.
That’s why these next few days matter so much.
BTC decides direction first.
Dominance reacts second.
Alts follow violently.
So keep your eyes glued to these charts.
Because if BTC stabilizes here…
The same market that’s been bleeding everyone dry could flip straight into full send mode.
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