Bitcoin just printed 4 red monthly candles in a row.

And now it’s threatening to make it 5.

The last time this happened? 2018.

You know… the same year portfolios went to therapy.

Meanwhile, altcoins are experiencing levels of sell pressure so extreme it makes the FTX collapse look like a minor inconvenience.

Sell pressure is now 3x worse than the peak of the FTX meltdown.

Let that sink in.

This is maximum pain territory. The kind that makes people question their life choices, their portfolio, and occasionally their religion.

But here’s the thing most people get wrong during moments like this.

This is not when markets end. This is when markets decide who survives the next phase.

Bitcoin has only ever had more than 4 consecutive red months once in its entire history.

That was the brutal stretch from August 2018 to January 2019. Six straight months of pain.

And if this month closes red, it will only be the second time ever that Bitcoin has entered this kind of prolonged bleed.

The good news?

History suggests these periods don’t last forever. Even in the worst case, the data points toward a relief window opening somewhere around April.

This is where the market splits into two camps.

The bulls believe the bottom is already in.

They see this as a classic shakeout. Weak hands get flushed, smart money accumulates quietly, and recovery begins when nobody expects it.

But the bears disagree completely.

They believe this is the early phase of a deeper post-halving reset, with lower prices still ahead before the real recovery begins.

Both sides are watching one level like their lives depend on it.

$74K is the line in the sand.

Reclaim it, and bulls regain control.
Fail it, and bears get the green light for another leg down.

But right now… bears are clearly winning.

Every exchange has different prices for the same crypto. Most people stick with one and pay whatever it costs.

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Every single bounce attempt lately has been sold.

Bitcoin pushed into the $70K to $71K zone multiple times… and got rejected every time.

That is textbook distribution behaviour.

Even worse, price is currently sitting below the 20, 50, 100, 200 EMAs and the daily, weekly, monthly and yearly VWAPs.

That is a lot of dynamic resistance stacked above price like a ceiling.

This is not the structure you want to see in a strong uptrend.

Now here’s the danger zone:

If Bitcoin closes a daily candle below $65K, things accelerate fast.

Next support sits near $60K.

Below that?

There is very little stopping price from visiting the $53K region quickly.

Gaps below support get filled fast. Always have.

If Bitcoin wants to flip the narrative, there is one number that matters more than anything:

$74K

This is the level bulls must reclaim to regain momentum.

Not just wick above it. Not briefly touch it.

It needs a clean daily close above it. And ideally a weekly close.

Until that happens, every bounce is just another potential bull trap.

Above $74K, the next real resistance sits between $83K and $86K.

That is where the biggest short opportunity lies.

But price will not break through the $74K level without a significant reaction.

Every bounce into the $72K-$74K range is hitting a major supply zone. That does not change until we get a weekly close above ~$74.5K.

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Even if Bitcoin rallies from here… That rally is not safety. It’s danger.

The $72K to $76K zone is one of the most dangerous areas on the entire chart.

Because that’s where massive amounts of trapped capital are waiting to escape.

Let’s break it down.

MicroStrategy alone holds over 714,000 BTC, with an average cost of around $76K.

That is over 3% of total Bitcoin supply sitting near breakeven.

And breakeven is where selling begins. Not where holding begins.

Then there are the spot ETFs.

Over 1.2 million BTC held with cost bases between $84K and $90K.

These same ETFs have already seen over $6 billion in outflows.

They are not buying this dip. They are distributing.

And it gets worse.

Over 63% of all Bitcoin supply was bought above $88K.

Which means the majority of investors are currently underwater.

And when underwater investors get a chance to escape near breakeven…

They sell. Not because they hate Bitcoin. Because they want their pain to end.

This is how markets reset.

They climb just high enough to give people hope… before deciding the real direction.

So now comes the question everyone’s asking:

If this is the reset… where are the generational buys hiding?

Because make no mistake, bear markets don’t destroy wealth.

They transfer it. From emotional traders to the patient ones with a plan.

And right now, while most people are panic selling bottoms and rage quitting..

We’re quietly positioning for what comes next. Not guessing. Not hoping. Executing.

We’ve mapped out exactly:

• Which assets we’re accumulating
• The exact price zones we’re buying
• How we’re scaling in without becoming exit liquidity
• And how we’re building a portfolio designed to outperform when the cycle flips

This is the blueprint we’ll be using to build serious long-term wealth through this reset.

But here’s the reality…

We don’t share the real playbook publicly.

Because alpha loses its edge when everyone has it.

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